Good Week, Bad Week 12/02/12…

Good Week

Ed Miliband- The Leader of the Opposition has had a very good week turning up the pressure on the Coalition’s Health Reforms. Miliband’s personal ratings have improved slightly too, although there is no real sign that the NHS Bill is hurting David Cameron’s personal ratings. Labour and Miliband must try to provide a narrative long term in which to slot these victories into otherwise their momentum will be lost however.

Nick Clegg- The Deputy Prime Minister has had an unspectacular week with the only highlight being a solid performance at Deputy Prime Minister’s Questions.

Rick Santorum- Santorum has had a great week, winning caucuses and leading in national polls. Can he challenge Romney for the GOP nomination? Doubtful in my opinion given Romney’s large war chest and his slightly more palatable views on social issues.

Bad Week

David Cameron- The Prime Minister has had an awful week due to his proposed NHS Reforms. The issue for the Tories (and the Coalition as a whole) is that the NHS Reforms aren’t explainable to the public in a concise manner, leaving them open to attack from Labour. I doubt Cameron will sack Andrew Lansley immediately but in any subsequent reshuffle he has to be a near certainty to leave the Cabinet. Cameron will be heartened that even though he has had a bad week his party’s ratings with YouGov are stable, neck and neck with Labour.

Andrew Lansley- Lansley has come under fire for his NHS Reforms this week. Whether or not he stays in his job is largely up to the NHS Bill’s progress. If it is voted through without incident I can see Lansley staying until the summer. If the bill is amended much more I can see Lansley coming under increased pressure to resign from the Cabinet.

Newt Gingrich- Gingrich is coming under increasing pressure to pull out of the GOP race given his dismal poll ratings. I expect him to pull out within a month if his polling doesn’t start matching current second place holder Rick Santorum.


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