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Archive for Boris Johnson
Boris Johnson “Have you ever wrestled someone on a cable car?”. Arnold Schwarzenegger “Errrm no”. Brilliant!
Ed Miliband- The Labour leader has had a good week, mainly due to his party’s poll ratings which are consistently better than the Tories by around ten percentage points. Miliband is also now ahead of Cameron in leadership ratings across the polling companies. The only real worry for Miliband short term is that the Coalition somehow regains the initiative politically and his poll leads evaporate quickly, proving that they were soft. Personally I cannot see this happening before the Summer but it still is a distinct possibility.
Nick Clegg- The Deputy Prime Minister had his usual low key week this week with his only highlight being his welcoming of the Olympic Flame to Britain from Greece.
Vince Cable- Cable this week secured many jobs this week by negotiating a deal with General Motors to build the new Astra at Ellesmere Port. More actions like this could secure his own role within the Cabinet.
Boris Johnson- The Mayor of London looked at home in Greece this week as he collected the Olympic Flame with Sebastian Coe and (Sir) David Beckham.
David Cameron- The Prime Minister has had yet another poor week as the Budget hangover continues for the Coalition. Cameron has two choices going forward short term, he can either be bold justifying his policies in the broadcast media or he can simply take it “easy” on policy until after the Summer recess. With a General Election three years away one suspects he will choose the latter option.
Ron Paul- Paul this week suspended his GOP Nomination campaign effectively making Mitt Romney the Republican candidate for President in 2012.
Topline First Round Prediction- Johnson 45 Livingstone 39 Paddick 7 Benita 3 Webb 3 Jones 2 Cortiglia 1
Topline Second Round Prediction- Johnson 51 Livingstone 49
Unless Johnson’s vote does not come out/is very soft, I cannot see any other outcome but a very narrow win for the blue team. I see the majority of second preferences going to Livingstone but Johnson should have enough votes from the first round to win in the second round.
Paddick is assured of third, Benita because of her “low key’ campaign should secure fourth and Webb should edge out Jones for fifth. All of which should mean that next time around the Green Party will not be included in the televised debates.
Ed Miliband- Miliband has had a good week with his party surging ahead in the polls (as much as thirteen points ahead of the Tories with YouGov). This should bode well for Labour in the upcoming Local Elections although losses in Glasgow and/or London would hurt Miliband’s credibility as a leader who can win when it matters.
Boris Johnson- The London Mayor bobbed and weaved to a score draw with Ken Livingstone in the Sky News London Mayoral Debate. At this point in time Johnson looks to be odds on to gain another term as London Mayor.
Brian Paddick- Paddick had a very solid Sky News London Mayoral Debate with some pundits claiming that the Lib Dem candidate won clearly. I wouldn’t have gone that far but it now looks certain that Paddick will easily outpoll his party in the capital.
Siobhan Benita- The Independent London Mayoral candidate’s campaign finally seemed to kick into second gear this week with increased media exposure. This could mean that Benita finishes an impressive fourth in the first round of London Mayoral voting.
David Cameron- Cameron has had a lousy week this week as the Budget continues to unravel, almost a month after it had been delivered. The good news for Cameron is that the Local Elections should draw a line under the Budget to an extent and put the pressure back on Miliband especially if Labour don’t make significant gains.
Nick Clegg- Clegg has had a middling week with the Lib Dem Leader facing the real possibility of a yellow wipeout on May 3rd. It is scant consolation that Clegg currently polls better than Miliband with ComRes therefore.
Ken Livingstone- Livingstone’s time to make a move in the London Mayoral race is quickly running out. He has performed badly in all of the debates so far and unless Johnson trips up epically in the final two weeks I can’t see a feasible scenario in which Livingstone becomes Mayor of London.
Jenny Jones- Jones puzzlingly didn’t show up to the Sky News London Mayoral Debate on Thursday night. Polling suggests it’s possible Jones could finish as low as sixth in the first round of London Mayoral voting.