Archive for George Osborne

Good Week, Bad Week 01/07/12…

Posted in Politics with tags , , , , , , , , , on July 1, 2012 by eljmayes

Good Week

Ed Miliband- Miliband has had a relatively good week. His party are still well ahead in the polls and he has put the Coalition on the back foot over the Libor scandal. That said, cracks do seem to be appearing within the Labour party as a whole. The unions want to drag Labour to left and mooted policies such as the re-nationalisation of railways point that their 2015 manifesto will be not be beside reading for the likes of Tony Blair. As I’ve stated before, divided parties do not win elections and provided Labour can stay relatively together they stand a good chance of gaining the most seats in 2015, whatever political position they choose to take.

Nick Clegg- Clegg has had his usual dull week as per normal. A busier, more media savvy Deputy Prime Minister may be able to bolster his party’s poll ratings in the Autumn.

Bad Week

David Cameron- Cameron has had a half decent week spoilt by his follies over an EU Referendum. The petrol tax deferral was a positive move which showed the country that the Prime Minister was on their side. His lack of leadership over the EU Referendum has shown that Cameron is still worried by his back benchers rebelling however. As with Labour, Cameron needs to take a standpoint and stick to it instead of consistently seeking some sort of middle ground. He is incredibly lucky that the opposition haven’t formulated any policies of note on any subject that matters long term yet.

George Osborne- Although the petrol tax deferral was a positive step it did seem to be forced by the opposition. Osborne may be reshuffled out of his current role if he lets situations like this week’s multiply.

Ed Balls- Ed Balls this week called for an inquiry into the actions of Ed Balls. Truly bizarre.

Chloe Smith- Smith this week found herself on the end of a Paxman mauling. The long term damage to her career should be minimal however.

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Good Week, Bad Week 29/04/12…

Posted in Politics with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , on April 29, 2012 by eljmayes

Good Week

Ed Miliband- Miliband has had yet another good week, largely by default. His party are consistently well ahead across the polls, a prominent Cabinet member looks to be on the way out and his number two’s predictions about a double dip recession have rung true. The fact still remains that Labour has no clear narrative or policies three years ahead of a General Election. In the short term this is acceptable although in the long term it is clearly not. Unless the incompetence from the Coalition continues for three solid years Miliband and Labour will need a vision for Britain to win the next General Election.

Ed Balls- Balls has been proved right this week as the country dropped back into recession. Britain should be more like America in the Shadow Chancellor’s eyes, using an addition stimulus to provide growth. Why I don’t feel this stance will work for Labour in the long term is very simple- the public now have (largely) accepted that cuts are necessary and that further spending is folly.

Alan Sugar- Lord Sugar this week spoke out in writing against Ken Livingstone. This move will have some impact on Livingstone’s campaign, casting doubt on whether or not he can rule London for all ethnic groups.

Bad Week

David Cameron- Cameron has had a woeful week. The economy is officially in recession and Jeremy Hunt looks as if he will be exiting the Cabinet very soon, forcing an early summer reshuffle on the Prime Minister. Obviously the recession is incredibly bad news for the Coalition as it’s a tangible story/statistic that can never be erased. The Hunt/Murdoch issue may prove to be more damaging however, as the ghosts of sleaze from the nineties return to haunt the Tories.

Nick Clegg- Clegg has had his usual quiet week soured by his frankly diabolical approval ratings with YouGov.

George Osborne- Osborne may leave the Chancellor’s role in the summer to be replaced by William Hague. If that were to happen, I’d imagine Osborne would become the new Foreign Secretary in straight job swap.

Jeremy Hunt- Hunt as I write this is barely hanging onto his job in the Cabinet. I’d wager by the time I write the next “Good Week, Bad Week” he will have resigned, likely to have been replaced by Hugh Robertson.

Ken Livingstone- Another week goes by without Livingstone declaring his tax returns, compounding his issues with the electorate of trust.

Good Week, Bad Week 25/03/12…

Posted in Politics with tags , , , , , , , , , , on March 25, 2012 by eljmayes

Good Week

Ed Miliband- The Leader of the Opposition has had a very good week. His response to the Budget was well received by nearly all pundits and Labour have surged ahead in the majority of polls. Whether or not Miliband can keep this momentum up until Easter is uncertain however without any clear narrative being shown by Labour.

Nick Clegg- The Lib Dems measures in the Budget have widely been praised by the electorate this week. Taking people completely out of the tax system is a very popular measure and I for one expect his party to stand on a similar policy in 2015.

Bob Crow- Crow this week hilariously threatened to sue Boris Johnson this week over the Mayor of London associating him with Ken Livingstone. Livingstone’s London Mayoral Campaign currently has the momentum of a rather slow newt and the signs do not look good for the former Mayor as we enter the final month of campaign.

Bad Week

David Cameron- The Prime Minister has had a woeful week. The Budget has been largely considered as a flop and the “Cash For Cameron” scandal could have legs. Concerning for Cameron will be both the perception that the Tories are looking after the rich with the cut in the top rate of tax whilst freezing the tax allowances of pensioners. The only saving grace for the Prime Minister is that the electorate are now accustomed to bad economical news and that Labour still seem to be having problems with their own fiscal narrative.

George Osborne- The Chancellor’s Budget was roundly trashed this week, with the scant praise being heaped on the Lib Dem influenced policies. Osborne’s chances of leading his party have certainly taken a hit this week.

Rachel Reeves- Reeves had a shocker on Newsnight earlier in the week as she tried to defend Ken Livingstone’s tax arrangements. May 3rd cannot come soon enough for parts of the Labour Party I hear.

Good Week, Bad Week 18/03/12…

Posted in Politics with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on March 18, 2012 by eljmayes

Good Week

David Cameron- The Prime Minister has had a very good week with his visit to America being seen as a success by most commentators. Cameron will also be heartened by fact that Ed Miliband hasn’t made any political capital ahead of next week’s Budget and his party’s poll ratings are steady across the board at around thirty seven percent.

Nick Clegg- The Deputy Prime Minister got the rare opportunity to take the reigns for Prime Minister’s Questions and was in good form after a slow start. In the upcoming Budget the personal tax allowance looks as if it will be raised to around nine thousand pounds which will provide Clegg with a chance to please his own party faithful.

George Osborne- Osborne has had a relatively good week ahead of the Budget which will likely see him cutting of the top rate of tax and relaxed Sunday trading regulations during the Summer. Both policies are politically divisive however, so the Chancellor needs to present them in the correct manner to avoid attacks from Labour. No easy task given the financial state the country is in.

Bad Week

Ed Miliband- The Labour Leader has had a pretty terrible week. He failed to gain traction ahead of the Budget, had to answer questions about his dealings with a Hull based tycoon and watched as Barack Obama embraced David Cameron in Washington. Miliband’s personal ratings are dire with his own supporters as well, with a record low net score of minus seven with YouGov. As I say nigh on every week, Labour needs a compelling narrative pronto. Miliband’s Budget response this week will be pivotal to his party’s prospects short term as election season looms.

Harriet Harman- Harman this week had a lackluster at Prime Minister’s Questions and then totally “forgot” how much Labour’s bankers bonus tax would raise. This may have reinforced the notion that Labour cannot be trusted managing the economy with the electorate.

Rick Santorum- Newt Gingrich stayed in the GOP Presidential Race this week impacting on Santorum’s chances of beating Romney for the Republican Nomination.

Good Week, Bad Week 26/02/12…

Posted in Politics with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on February 26, 2012 by eljmayes

Good Week

Ed Miliband- The Leader of the Opposition has had yet another solid week. His attacks on the Coalition’s NHS reforms are resonating with the public and his personal approval ratings with YouGov are on the rise. That said, Miliband still has a long way to go before he can feel confident of winning the General Election. Labour are still neck and neck with the Tories in the polls and his approval ratings are roughly where William Hague’s approval ratings were in his second year as opposition leader. Miliband has recovered from his woes of January well but questions still remain if he can draw up a viable narrative which will guide Labour back to power.

George Osborne- Borrowing figures came in slightly lower than expected this week, allowing the Chancellor some wriggle room in the Budget next month. I expect Osborne to freeze petrol duty in the medium term plus bring forward infrastructure projects in rural areas in the Budget next month to sure up his party’s core vote. I don’t see the personal tax allowance being raised sharply, even though the Lib Dems have been lobbying for such a measure.

Mitt Romney- Romney got through this week relatively unscathed, matching Rick Santorum in the Arizona CNN Debate. Until one of the candidates in the GOP race drops out I cannot imagine Romney relinquishing his position as front runner for the Republican Presidential Nomination.

Bad Week

David Cameron- The Prime Minister has had much the same week as last week, being heavily criticised on his proposed NHS Reforms from all sides. Cameron will take heart from his personal ratings with YouGov, which are still nearly (minus ten percent) in the positive region with all voters. Cameron will also know that Miliband can’t dine out on his beleaguered NHS Reforms forever and that the economy will still be the most important issue with voters at the next General Election.

Nick Clegg- A typically dull week for the Deputy Prime Minister spiced up by him seeming to say that young people were a “very naughty word” in a BBC interview.

Andrew Lansley- The Health Secretary marches on with his NHS Reforms knowing that his chances of surviving a reshuffle are slim at best.

Good Week, Bad Week 29/01/12…

Posted in Politics with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , on January 29, 2012 by eljmayes

Good Week

Nick Clegg- The Deputy Prime Minister has had a very good week, reinforcing his party’s policy on tax allowances and again stressing the need for a “mansion” tax. Both of these policies are popular with voters (particularly Labour voters) so Clegg will be happy that he and his party are finally making progress in differentiating themselves from the Tories in the Coalition.

Ed Miliband- The Leader of the Opposition has had a decent week. He was solid at Prime Minister’s Questions and seems to have captured the mood of the people with his opinions on Stephen Hester’s bonus. There still is no real narrative from Labour however and Miliband’s personal polling is dire with YouGov.

Mitt Romney- Romney effectively won the GOP Presidential Race with a great performance in the CNN Florida Debate. Unless he does something incredibly crazy or stupid it’s not if but when Romney clinches the Republican Nomination.

Bad Week

David Cameron- Poor GDP figures underpinned a bad week for the Prime Minister. If the UK does fall back into recession in three months then I see the Tories Poll Ratings plummeting short term and Ed Miliband’s star rising. Which may please many in the Coalition perversely. Cameron’s personal ratings with YouGov are excellent however, in deep contrast with the Leader of the Opposition.

George Osborne- Osborne has had a bad week which mirrored the Prime Minister’s. GDP figures show it’s now looking increasingly likely that the UK will slip into recession. The problem for Osborne short term is that there is little he can do to solve the Eurozone crisis/uncertainty which seems to be partly causing such terrible GDP figures in the UK.

Liam Byrne- Labour’s position on a benefits cap have shifted from opposing a cap to not opposing a cap but with reservations to not opposing a cap so long as there is a regional element all in a week. Byrne isn’t doing Labour any favours by sending out mixed messages on such an important subject as Welfare.

Good Week, Bad Week 04/12/11…

Posted in Politics with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on December 4, 2011 by eljmayes

Good Week

Nick Clegg- A typically quiet week for the Deputy Prime Minister, looking like a bystander whilst the Autumn Statement was delivered. The Lib Dems are doing slightly better in the polls recently but still would lose a projected half of their MPs if a General Election was held tomorrow.

Newt Gingrich- Gingrich has had a very good week, topping numerous GOP polls by a significant margin. My gut feeling that he will not be the Republican Presidential Nominee in 2012, as he is clearly less electable than the younger Mitt Romney in the eyes of the American people.

Jeremy Clarkson- Clarkson’s highly controversial comments on The One Show this week have meant his new DVD is selling better than predicted.

Bad Week

David Cameron- The Prime Minister has had a terrible week as it looks almost certain the UK will slip back into recession next year. As I have stated before, Cameron has only got to beat in 2015 what’s in front of him in the guise of Ed Miliband. A recession does complicate his election strategy in 2015- does Cameron call for faster cuts or keep the status quo? I’d say the latter at this point.

Ed Miliband- It should be so easy for The Leader of the Opposition at the moment. Whilst Miliband had a decent outing at Prime Minister’s Questions this week, his “Five Point Plan” for jobs and growth has not gained the traction he would have liked. Simply put, Labour need to understand cuts have to be made across the board without spending money the country does not have. Any further spending “plans” would hurt Labour with voters as the debate has moved on from whether or not cuts need to made. Miliband and Balls are polling woefully as a duo and I’d wager one of Labour’s top team will not be there in 2015.

George Osborne- The Chancellor had to backtrack on his commitment to eradicate the deficit within five years this week. This was disappointing for Osborne the politician as broken promises will not help his leadership ambitions with the Tory Party faithful. The need for further spending cuts going into an election may help the party to be victorious over Labour however.

Ed Balls- The Shadow Chancellor landed some decent blows this week in light of the dire economic outlook. However Balls at this point is seen by many in his party as a liability that it may be him who leaves the Shadow Cabinet before Ed Miliband.

Herman Cain- Cain dropped out of the GOP race this week, much to the disappointment of Pokemon lovers everywhere.

 

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