Archive for Rick Santorum

Will The Real Mitt Romney Please Stand Up?..

Posted in Politics with tags , , , , , on March 20, 2012 by eljmayes

Beyond brilliant. Strong themes.

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Good Week, Bad Week 18/03/12…

Posted in Politics with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on March 18, 2012 by eljmayes

Good Week

David Cameron- The Prime Minister has had a very good week with his visit to America being seen as a success by most commentators. Cameron will also be heartened by fact that Ed Miliband hasn’t made any political capital ahead of next week’s Budget and his party’s poll ratings are steady across the board at around thirty seven percent.

Nick Clegg- The Deputy Prime Minister got the rare opportunity to take the reigns for Prime Minister’s Questions and was in good form after a slow start. In the upcoming Budget the personal tax allowance looks as if it will be raised to around nine thousand pounds which will provide Clegg with a chance to please his own party faithful.

George Osborne- Osborne has had a relatively good week ahead of the Budget which will likely see him cutting of the top rate of tax and relaxed Sunday trading regulations during the Summer. Both policies are politically divisive however, so the Chancellor needs to present them in the correct manner to avoid attacks from Labour. No easy task given the financial state the country is in.

Bad Week

Ed Miliband- The Labour Leader has had a pretty terrible week. He failed to gain traction ahead of the Budget, had to answer questions about his dealings with a Hull based tycoon and watched as Barack Obama embraced David Cameron in Washington. Miliband’s personal ratings are dire with his own supporters as well, with a record low net score of minus seven with YouGov. As I say nigh on every week, Labour needs a compelling narrative pronto. Miliband’s Budget response this week will be pivotal to his party’s prospects short term as election season looms.

Harriet Harman- Harman this week had a lackluster at Prime Minister’s Questions and then totally “forgot” how much Labour’s bankers bonus tax would raise. This may have reinforced the notion that Labour cannot be trusted managing the economy with the electorate.

Rick Santorum- Newt Gingrich stayed in the GOP Presidential Race this week impacting on Santorum’s chances of beating Romney for the Republican Nomination.

Good Week, Bad Week 11/03/12…

Posted in Politics with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on March 11, 2012 by eljmayes

Good Week

Ed Miliband- The Leader of the Opposition has had a good week on balance. Although Miliband had a shocker in a radio interview early in the week, the Coalition are still faltering with the proposed NHS Reforms so the Labour Leader’s attacks finally seem to be paying off. Labour’s poll lead with YouGov are stabilising at five percent which must also please Miliband greatly. After the NHS Bill goes through Labour’s next priority will likely be Police numbers before the Budget at the end of the month.

Yvette Cooper- Cooper (finally) is effectively attacking the Coalition on the issue of Police numbers. This should prove fertile ground for Labour in the short term but close to an election one wonders if the voting public may question how the opposition would raise Police numbers without the need for raising taxes.

Boris Johnson- The Mayor of London has had a good week by doing absolutely nothing politically, allowing Ken Livingstone to get himself into trouble over his tax affairs.

Bad Week

David Cameron- The Prime Minister has had a bad week due to the NHS Reforms being in the spotlight for a fourth straight week. Cameron must be hoping that the bill goes through without issue and that the political debate moves onto the Budget as soon as possible.

Nick Clegg- The Deputy Prime Minister this week has been getting himself into a tangle over the NHS Reforms and taxation within his own party. The NHS Reforms are now neither backed or opposed by the Lib Dems as a whole and the prospect of “tycoon tax” seems baffling. Whilst I accept that Clegg needs to draw up a separate narrative for the Lib Dems heading into 2015, he needs such a narrative to be bold and above all else decisive. The Lib Dem Leader cannot afford to be labeled as a fence sitter come the next General Election in my opinion.

Newt Gingrich- Gingrich is widely expected to leave the GOP Race next week. Such a move would undoubtedly prolong the fight between Romney and Santorum yet further which would make Barack Obama a very happy man indeed.

Good Week, Bad Week 26/02/12…

Posted in Politics with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on February 26, 2012 by eljmayes

Good Week

Ed Miliband- The Leader of the Opposition has had yet another solid week. His attacks on the Coalition’s NHS reforms are resonating with the public and his personal approval ratings with YouGov are on the rise. That said, Miliband still has a long way to go before he can feel confident of winning the General Election. Labour are still neck and neck with the Tories in the polls and his approval ratings are roughly where William Hague’s approval ratings were in his second year as opposition leader. Miliband has recovered from his woes of January well but questions still remain if he can draw up a viable narrative which will guide Labour back to power.

George Osborne- Borrowing figures came in slightly lower than expected this week, allowing the Chancellor some wriggle room in the Budget next month. I expect Osborne to freeze petrol duty in the medium term plus bring forward infrastructure projects in rural areas in the Budget next month to sure up his party’s core vote. I don’t see the personal tax allowance being raised sharply, even though the Lib Dems have been lobbying for such a measure.

Mitt Romney- Romney got through this week relatively unscathed, matching Rick Santorum in the Arizona CNN Debate. Until one of the candidates in the GOP race drops out I cannot imagine Romney relinquishing his position as front runner for the Republican Presidential Nomination.

Bad Week

David Cameron- The Prime Minister has had much the same week as last week, being heavily criticised on his proposed NHS Reforms from all sides. Cameron will take heart from his personal ratings with YouGov, which are still nearly (minus ten percent) in the positive region with all voters. Cameron will also know that Miliband can’t dine out on his beleaguered NHS Reforms forever and that the economy will still be the most important issue with voters at the next General Election.

Nick Clegg- A typically dull week for the Deputy Prime Minister spiced up by him seeming to say that young people were a “very naughty word” in a BBC interview.

Andrew Lansley- The Health Secretary marches on with his NHS Reforms knowing that his chances of surviving a reshuffle are slim at best.

Good Week, Bad Week 12/02/12…

Posted in Politics with tags , , , , , , , , , , , on February 12, 2012 by eljmayes

Good Week

Ed Miliband- The Leader of the Opposition has had a very good week turning up the pressure on the Coalition’s Health Reforms. Miliband’s personal ratings have improved slightly too, although there is no real sign that the NHS Bill is hurting David Cameron’s personal ratings. Labour and Miliband must try to provide a narrative long term in which to slot these victories into otherwise their momentum will be lost however.

Nick Clegg- The Deputy Prime Minister has had an unspectacular week with the only highlight being a solid performance at Deputy Prime Minister’s Questions.

Rick Santorum- Santorum has had a great week, winning caucuses and leading in national polls. Can he challenge Romney for the GOP nomination? Doubtful in my opinion given Romney’s large war chest and his slightly more palatable views on social issues.

Bad Week

David Cameron- The Prime Minister has had an awful week due to his proposed NHS Reforms. The issue for the Tories (and the Coalition as a whole) is that the NHS Reforms aren’t explainable to the public in a concise manner, leaving them open to attack from Labour. I doubt Cameron will sack Andrew Lansley immediately but in any subsequent reshuffle he has to be a near certainty to leave the Cabinet. Cameron will be heartened that even though he has had a bad week his party’s ratings with YouGov are stable, neck and neck with Labour.

Andrew Lansley- Lansley has come under fire for his NHS Reforms this week. Whether or not he stays in his job is largely up to the NHS Bill’s progress. If it is voted through without incident I can see Lansley staying until the summer. If the bill is amended much more I can see Lansley coming under increased pressure to resign from the Cabinet.

Newt Gingrich- Gingrich is coming under increasing pressure to pull out of the GOP race given his dismal poll ratings. I expect him to pull out within a month if his polling doesn’t start matching current second place holder Rick Santorum.

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